Why Evals Are the New User Stories for AI

Build trust, curb hallucinations and promote your LLM apps with a rigorous, repeatable evaluation playbook

What Is an Eval, Really?

In traditional software, user stories capture the intent of a feature. For example “As a student … I want … so that …” and engineers translate that prose into code and tests. With large language models (LLMs), the prompt becomes the user story, while the uncertainty jumps ten-fold.

LLMs are stochastic. They can generate different answers to the same prompt and occasionally invent facts. Evals step in as the new safety harness. They are structured, automated checks that tell you when a model is behaving, where it drifts and whether a change in prompting, data, or model version genuinely improves outcomes. OpenAI’s open-source Evals framework is quickly becoming the de-facto toolbox for this work. github.com

Bottom line: Prompts describe intent and evals verify impact. Together they replace the crude “ship-and-hope” mindset that plagued early LLM prototypes.

Why Evals Matter More Than Ever

LLMs now live inside sales CRMs, HR portals, accounting suites, warehouse dashboards and factory floor human machine interfaces (HMIs). In each domain they face three systemic challenges:

  1. Hallucination risk – factual errors undermine trust.
  2. Data drift – new products, policies, or market conditions break carefully tuned prompts.
  3. Regulatory or safety exposure – bad forecasts, biased hiring recommendations or faulty maintenance advice carry real financial or human cost.

A rigorous evaluation regime tackles all three by acting as:

  • Acceptance tests for new prompts or model versions.
  • Regression tests that guard against silent performance decay.
  • Fitness-for-purpose scorecards that business stakeholders can understand (e.g., Does the model generate a sales email that lifts open rates by ≥15%?).

Microsoft’s evaluation playbook calls this the “predefined metrics → comparison → ranking” loop. This is the same scientific method that underpins A/B testing in web analytics. learn.microsoft.com

Industry Case Studies: From PowerPoint to Production

Below are five sectors where evals have moved from theory to hard numbers on an ops dashboard.

1. Sales Automation

Use Case
An LLM generates personalised follow-up emails after a demo call and suggests next-best actions inside the CRM.

Key Metrics 

MetricWhy it mattersHow to measure quickly
Email open rateFirst proxy for relevance and subject-line qualityMail-client tracking pixels
Meeting-booked rateDirect revenue impact of copy tweaksCalendly/CRM events
Rep hours savedOperational ROI vs. manual draftingTime-tracking plug-in

Eval Design

Seed prompts: 50 real call summaries → “Write a follow-up email”.
Ground-truth: Sales enablement team rewrites each output to “gold” standard.
Scoring: BLEU for subject-line fluency + LLM-judge rubric for call-to-action clarity.
Threshold: ≥ 0.35 BLEU and ≥ 4/5 rubric score must hold for 95% of prompts before go-live.

Common Pitfalls & Fixes

Over-personalisation (including confidential pricing or PII) → add a “no-leak” eval with regex checks for dollar amounts or emails.
Tone drift when Marketing updates brand guidelines → include brand-style test cases in the eval suite.

2. Human Resources

Use Case
Screening inbound CVs and drafting interview questions tailored to job competencies.

Key Metrics

MetricWhy it mattersEasy proxy
Time-to-shortlistHR’s SLA to hiring managersATS timestamps
Interview-to-hire ratioMeasures shortlist qualityHRIS records
DEI compliance scoreBias detectionThird-party bias audit APIs

Eval Design

Seed data: 200 anonymised CVs labelled “Strong/Weak”.
Rule-based tests: Does the model extract mandatory fields (years of experience, certifications)?
LLM-judge tests: Compare competency summaries to human recruiter notes.
Bias eval: Swap gender-coded names and rerun with acceptable variance ≤ 5%.

Challenges

Opaque weighting of education vs. experience → tie the rubric to clearly documented policy.
Regulatory scrutiny under EU AI Act → log every eval run and store artefacts for audit.

3. Finance & Accounting

Use Case
Automated reconciliation between ERP ledger entries and bank statements, plus narrative explanations for mismatches.

Key Metrics

MetricWhy it mattersMeasurement
Reconciliation accuracyFinancial correctnessSample QA by controllers
Days to closeSpeed of monthly reportingERP close calendar
False-positive rateAvoid wasting analyst timeQA logs

Eval Design

Deterministic tests: For “known good” ledgers, expect zero mismatches.
Generative tests: Feed synthetic edge cases (e.g., FX revaluations) and grade the LLM’s explanation quality via another model.
Materiality thresholds: Flag any miss > $500 automatically.

Alternative View
Some CFOs argue classic rule-based engines outperform LLMs for pure reconciliation. A hybrid approach, with rules for the 85% straightforward cases and LLM-generated narratives for the messy 15%, often wins on cost–benefit.

4. Inventory & Supply Chain

Use Case
Natural-language demand forecasting and stock-level recommendations for e-commerce stock keeping units (SKUs.)

Key Metrics

MetricWhy it mattersQuick capture
Forecast MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error)Accuracy of demand predictionsCompare forecast vs. actual sales
Stockout rateCustomer experience & lost salesWMS logs
Inventory turnoverWorking-capital efficiencyFinance KPIs

Eval Design

Historical back-testing: Feed last year’s data, ask LLM to forecast each week, compute MAPE.
Scenario stress tests: “Black Friday”, supply-chain delay, viral social mention.
Regeneration consistency: Same forecast prompt should yield < 2% variance across three runs. If not, tighten the temperature or add a system instruction.

Gotchas

Garbage in, garbage out: If product descriptions are inconsistent, the model mis-classifies demand drivers. Include a data-quality pre-eval that scores description completeness.

5. Manufacturing Automation

Use Case
LLM analyses sensor logs and operator notes to predict machine failures, then drafts maintenance SOPs.

Key Metrics

MetricWhy it mattersHow to measure
Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF)Core reliability metricSCADA/CMMS data
Overall Equipment Effectiveness (OEE)Composite productivityMES dashboards
Defect rate (PPM)Product qualityQC inspections

Eval Design

Classification tests: Given a labelled dataset of past failures, model must flag ≥ 92% correctly.
Procedure quality tests: Maintenance engineers rank generated standard operating procedures for clarity, safety compliance, and parts list accuracy.
Real-time drift tests: Stream live sensor data through a shadow pipeline and compare predictions to ground truth every 24 hours.

Risk & Mitigation

Hallucinated spare-part numbers could cause costly downtime. Add regex-based eval ensuring any part ID appears in the official bill of materials (BOM) database.

Building an Eval Suite: A Five-Step Checklist

  1. Define the business outcome. Tie each eval metric to dollars saved, risk reduced or revenue unlocked – not abstract accuracy.
  2. Gather high-signal test data. Curate edge cases, adversarial prompts, and real user inputs. The harder the better.
  3. Choose the right metric. Could be exact match (yes/no), rubric-based LLM scoring, or business-level KPIs (conversion rate). Mix as needed.
  4. Automate & version-control. Treat evals like code. Store them in Git, run in CI/CD and block merges if thresholds fail. The OpenAI Evals framework or LangSmith make this straightforward.
  5. Monitor in production. Models drift as data changes. Schedule nightly or hourly evals and trigger alerts on threshold breaches.

Pros, Cons & Pragmatic Trade-Offs


ProsCons / Trade-Offs
RepeatabilityRemoves guesswork, speeds up model iterationInitial setup can feel bureaucratic
Stakeholder trustAuditable metrics beat “just trust the AI”Metrics can be gamed if poorly chosen
Risk mitigationCatches regressions before customers doOverly strict gates can stall innovation
Cross-model comparisonSwap providers (GPT-4o vs. Claude) with evidenceRequires neutral eval data to avoid selection bias

Frequently Asked Questions

  1. How do I evaluate answers from ChatGPT or a no-code app I built?
    Start with simple deterministic tests (exact answers) and add an LLM-judge rubric for subjective tasks like tone or creativity.
  2. How do I check the quality of my team’s workflows?
    Embed evals in every Zapier or Make scenario. If a prompt fails the gate, reroute to human review.
  3. How do I train colleagues to cross-check responses from AI?
    Teach them to look for footnotes, ask the model to cite sources, and compare against trusted internal data.

Final Thoughts

Evals are no longer a research luxury and they should be a board-level requirement. Whether you’re selling SaaS, hiring faster, closing the books, replenishing shelves, or keeping a production line humming, evals turn AI from an experiment into an asset. Embrace them early, instrument them well, and your organisation will spend less time firefighting and more time innovating.

If you’d like hands-on help designing or running evals, hit reply, explore our library of use cases, or book a discovery call. Let’s make your AI trustworthy, one eval at a time.

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